Cyclone Likely to Form in Bay of Bengal by May 6, says IMD DG; Odisha Impact Uncertain

IMD DG Muthananjaya Mohapatra has informed the public that a cyclone is likely to form in the southeast Bay of Bengal by May 6. The cyclone is predicted to turn into a low-pressure area by May 7, which could intensify and turn into precipitation by May 8. According to Mohapatra, the low pressure will move northwards and may become more dense, potentially turning into a cyclonic storm by May 9.

However, the impact of the cyclone on Odisha remains uncertain. Mohapatra stated that the storm’s trajectory and intensity cannot be estimated at this time, and clarity will only be possible after the formation of the low-pressure area on May 7. Currently, there is no warning for Odisha, and no rain or wind warning has been issued for the Odisha coast.

By May 6, the sea in the southeast Bay of Bengal is expected to be rough, with wind speeds of 40 to 50 km per hour. Mohapatra advised fishermen not to venture out to sea.

Meanwhile, Umasankar Das, a meteorologist at the Bhubaneswar Regional Meteorological Center, has forecasted another 4 to 5 days of intermittent rain in various districts of the state.

Possible Cyclone Formation in the Bay of Bengal After May 6 Due to Low-Pressure Area

Bhubaneswar: The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) regional office in Bhubaneswar has predicted the formation of a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal after May 6. According to the IMD, cyclonic circulation is expected to develop over the Southeast Bay of Bengal around May 6, 2023, which could result in a low-pressure area forming over the same region within 48 hours.

However, the IMD has not yet determined whether the low-pressure area will turn into a cyclonic storm. Meanwhile, international meteorologist Jason Nicholls has predicted that the system may intensify into a cyclone and affect areas between eastern India and Myanmar.

Weather experts have suggested that a more precise prediction regarding the path and intensity of the system can be made after the low-pressure area forms. The US weather forecast model Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) have predicted the formation of a cyclonic storm over the Bay of Bengal, which will be named ‘Mocha’ if it materializes. The weather forecast model of Windy has estimated that Cyclone Mocha may form by May 11.

Jason Nichols has also estimated the possibility of a storm in the second week of May, as a low-pressure area may develop over the South Bay of Bengal by the end of this week or early next week. He has revealed that there is a high probability that the low-pressure area will take the form of a cyclonic storm, which could affect areas from east India to Bangladesh and Myanmar. Meteorologists are closely monitoring the changes in the low pressure.

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